- Annual Reports
FinMetrics – Yet Another Value Blog
My not-so-thoughtful thoughts about valuation, finance,financial analysis, business analysis, finance books and the finance news of today! Little bit of Michael Lot of Mauboussin!!!!!!!!
How to Annual Report - Which Sections to cover?
Accounting Gimmicks & Spotting Red flags
Below are several accounting gimmicks and red-flag signals that a diligent investor can spot by examining a company’s last three years of financial statements and carefully reading the notes to accounts -
Michael Mauboussin on Amazon: Lessons in Expanding the Total Addressable Market
Mauboussin, known for his influential research on corporate value creation, uses Amazon as a key example of a company that continually redefines its TAM—not just by launching new products or services, but also by creating and seizing "option value," or new business opportunities that weren't originally part of its core model. GPU Server production: Nvidia AMD LLMs: Google Meta OpenAI
Unlocking India’s Water and Waste Infrastructure: Gaps, Data, and Opportunity
- Sewage Treatment Plants: Expanding the number and capacity of sewage treatment facilities is critical. The Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) reports that over 60% of sewage generated in India goes untreated, polluting rivers and harming ecosystems. The sector is poised for high growth as governmental schemes like Namami Gange and AMRUT focus on wastewater management. Estimates suggest India needs at least 10,000 more plants to meet current demand and comply with global norms.
- Water Desalination Plants: With over 18% of the world’s population but just 4% of its freshwater resources, India faces acute water scarcity in many regions. Desalination offers a promising solution, especially for coastal cities like Chennai and Mumbai. While India currently has around 20 large desalination plants, China has over 1,000 operational plants with a combined capacity of over 1.5 million cubic meters per day. The potential for expansion is substantial, particularly as water stress worsens due to climate change and population growth.
- Waste Recycling Plants: India generates over 62 million tonnes of solid waste annually, yet less than 30% is scientifically processed or recycled. In comparison, advanced economies like China and the European Union recycle or treat up to 80% of their waste. There is enormous scope for increasing the number of waste recycling plants—especially for plastic, e-waste, and organic waste—as new government rules and incentives encourage private participation and innovation.
Signs of Excessiveness and Extremism
Top Signs | Bottom Signs |
---|---|
1. Large no. of IPOs | 1. No Mergers and Acquisitions |
2. Rapidly Rising Prices | 2. No IPOs |
3. Excess Leverage | 3. No new money for Venture Capital |
4. Availability of Credit | 4. Low Price/Sales and EV/EBITDA Multiples |
5. Over-optimistic Front Covers of Newspapers and Magazines | 5. Many Companies Trading below Book Value |
6. Very High Trading Volumes | 6. Very Low P/E Multiple |
7. Historically HighP/E and EV/EBITDA Multiples | 7. Central Banks eased for 6 to 12 Months |
8. Art and Luxury Markets Booming | 8. Recession Declared Officially, News is Stale |
9. Financial Press and Financial TV become Favourites | 9. Previously Favourite Sectors are Hated |
10. This Time is Different" Declared | 10. Credit only available to High Quality Borrowers |
11. Amateur Investors moveto Equity Asset Class | 11. Investors are Cautious and Out of the Markel |
12. Innovation Leads to Euphoria | 12. Negative Front Covers of Newspapers and Magazines |
13. Social Proof Leads to Herding | 13. Negative and Depressed Consumer Sentiment |
The Role of ROIC - 2/n
Good quality business
are those kinds of business that can generate higher return on the capital that
is being reinvested but outstanding business are those businesses that can keep
compounding the profit at higher return.
Financial Analysis - A fairytale lore towards analysing different aspects of numbers of the company - Revenue - Part 2/n
It is possible that the method of calculation of revenue could have changed over the years so it is important for us to make sure that the number that has been taken over the years are comparable in nature, some of the following transitions includes:
The Role of ROIC - the Hashim Amla of understanding business characteristics
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is a financial metric that evaluates the return a company earns on the funds invested in its operations. It helps assess whether growth adds or diminishes value. Growth creates value when ROIC exceeds the cost of capital (ROIC > COC), but erodes value when ROIC is less than the cost of capital (ROIC < COC).