Below are several accounting gimmicks and red-flag signals that a diligent investor can spot by examining a company’s last three years of financial statements and carefully reading the notes to accounts -
- Continuous decline in revenues for more than three years.
- Inflating revenues by recognizing them prematurely, such as before actual shipment; recording bogus revenues; or classifying one-time asset sale gains as revenues.
- Significant and rising amount of non-operating income relative to industry peers over a prolonged period.
- Regular recurrence of non-recurring or one-time expenses.
- Increase in capital expenditure without a corresponding increase in sales, suggesting the company might be capitalizing normal operating expenses.
- Poor or irregular cash flow over an extended period.
- Cash flow remains negative for a long time, which may indicate depletion of cash reserves and potential financial trouble, especially in the absence of new equity investors or lenders.
- Operating cash flow consistently lags behind the company’s net income or net profit for a prolonged duration.
- Increasing operating cash flows by deliberately delaying payments to suppliers. This can often be identified through a significant increase in payables on the balance sheet.
- Abnormal difference between the growth rates of operating cash flow and earnings.
- Debt-to-equity ratio rising at an alarming rate; this often suggests the company is taking on more debt than its operations can sustainably handle.
- Continuous decline in the interest coverage ratio over 2–3 years, indicating reduced ability to service debt and increased financial risk.
- Continuous downtrend in gross profit margin for more than three years, indicating underlying issues beyond normal cyclical effects.
- Abnormal increase in accounts receivable relative to sales, suggesting customers are delaying payments or defaulting.
- Abnormal growth in inventories compared to sales, indicating poor inventory management or weak product demand.
- Significant third-party transactions that require scrutiny.
- Earnings smoothing by overstating or understating expenses and revenues, especially to maintain stable profitability during low-profit periods.
- Frequent boosting of profits through large one-time gains, such as asset sales.
- Inconsistencies between the company’s financial statements and management’s statements about its current condition.
- Significant bank accounts, subsidiaries, or branches located in tax haven jurisdictions without clear business justifications.
- Companies showing good liquidity and solvency metrics but failing to meet loan obligations on time.
- Significantly higher compensation paid to promoters or management compared to industry peers or standards.
- Frequent disagreements or differences in views between management and external auditors.
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